The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mouscron 19.6%
Draw 25.7%
Charleroi 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
26%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16%
21.8%
65.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mouscron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mouscron than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charleroi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.8%
4.1%
85.1%
Mouscron - Charleroi Predictions
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(63 of 74 users predict this - 85.14%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 93.24%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Proximus League and 1 in the zone Promotion to Jupiler League (Championship Group)).
Mouscron has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Charleroi has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (54%), has a chance of win league (23%).
Mouscron is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Charleroi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Mouscron could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Charleroi is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Mouscron won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 10-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Mouscron won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.
Watch
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