The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charleroi 61%
Draw 22.6%
Beerschot Wilrijk 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
26.1%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.
Beerschot Wilrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Charleroi - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
Charleroi will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 98. Petris J. 4. Ousou A. 21. Andreou S. 15. Dragsnes V. 6. Zorgane A. 5. Camara E. (C) 17. Bernier A. 18. Heymans D. 8. Guiagon P. 99. Kyei G.
33. Shinton N. (G) 42. Martha A. 3. Matthys H. 26. Tshimanga D. 2. Dagba C. 18. Sanusi R. 10. Verlinden T. 66. Tolis 8. Henderson E. 9. Kosiah A. 25. Colassin A.
Substitutes
9. Dabbagh O. 33. Defourny T. (G) 70. Flips A. 95. Keita C. 7. Mbenza I. 24. Nzita M. 29. Rogelj Z. 80. Sylla Y. 22. Titraoui Y.
47. Cagro W. 30. Huiberts D. 27. Keita C. 11. Kruger F. 71. Matijas D. (G) 5. Mbe Soh L. 4. Plat B. 7. Reyners T. 28. Weymans M.
Coaches
De Mil R.
Kuyt D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Heymans D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Kyei G. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽,
61', Henderson E. ↓, Reyners T. ↑,
61', Dagba C. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
61', Kosiah A. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
69', Kyei G. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
69', Guiagon P. ↓, Mbenza I. ↑,
69', Tolis ↓, Plat B. ↑,
77', Camara E. ↓, Flips A. ↑,
77', Bernier A. ↓, Titraoui Y. ↑,
79', Flips A. 🟨,
83', Petris J. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 4.
Recent matches Charleroi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Beerschot Wilrijk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Charleroi is a favorite.
There are questionable in Charleroi: Mayoka-Tika N.
(Knock)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.