Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lommel		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.90	3.50	2.30
	2.6	3.35	2.6	Watch
	3.03	3.75	2.35
	3.12	3.76	2.14	Watch
	2.95	3.7	2.25
	2.91	3.77	2.37	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.5)	3.62 ↑ (3.42)	2.3 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
32.7%

Draw
26.2%

Westerlo
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Westerlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Westerlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	17.6%	64.7%

Lommel - Westerlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Westerlo will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 2. van Duiven J. 3. Eyoma T. 5. Wouters D. 4. Adewoye S. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 6. Pelupessy J. 10. Reyners T. 41. Nypan S. 21. Appuah S. 9. Konadu D.	99. Jungdal A. (C) 23. Mbamba-Muanda L. 5. Kimura S. 4. Lapage A. 28. Ourega D. 20. Congreve C. 14. Sandra C. 12. Laalaoui R. 7. Saito S. 9. Bassette N. 13. Sakamoto I.
Substitutes
46. Corthouts N. 44. Dada-Mascoll I. 22. Gordic D. 1. Ivezic N. (G) 98. Salah M. 30. Seuntjens R. 7. Talvitie J. 11. Vancsa Z. 17. Vandecraen E.	11. Bohamdi-Kamoni N. 2. Flo L. 45. Fofana I. 17. Jochem D. 1. Lathouwers B. (G) 6. Munz R. 24. Ndembi M. 10. Patrao A. 22. Tsimba E. 39. Van den Keybus T. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Johnson L.	Charai I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', Nypan S. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
30', 1 - 0, Reyners T. ⚽, van Duiven J. (A),
45+4', 2 - 0, Schoofs L. ⚽, van Duiven J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bassette N. ↓, Tsimba E. ↑,
46', Saito S. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
46', Mbamba-Muanda L. ↓, Flo L. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Konadu D. ⚽, Appuah S. (A),
58', Konadu D. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
62', Laalaoui R. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
72', Appuah S. ↓, Corthouts N. ↑,
75', Sakamoto I. ↓, Jochem D. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Reyners T. ⚽, van Duiven J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 2.

Recent form of Lommel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Westerlo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Westerlo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Westerlo has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Lommel: Banguera Riascos J. A. (Knee Injury) Rommens N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Westerlo: Haspolat D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Lommel: Krastev F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tolinsson J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:31. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lommel SK	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
10	Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15:16	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.26	Lommel - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Sint-Truidense - Lommel	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Lommel - ADO Den Haag	0:4 ✺
15.07.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Lommel	5:1 ✺
11.07.26	Cercle Brugge - Lommel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLT
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.08.26	Genk - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Westerlo - Saint-Gilloise	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Westerlo - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Westerlo - AE Kifisia	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Westerlo - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
02.04.22	Lommel - Westerlo	2:1
06.02.22	Westerlo - Lommel	3:0
27.11.21	Lommel - Westerlo	0:1
01.10.21	Westerlo - Lommel	2:0
14.03.21	Lommel - Westerlo	1:0
15.02.21	Westerlo - Lommel	1:1
06.12.20	Westerlo - Lommel	2:1

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