Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 12

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Moyola Park		Newington

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.60	1.82
	3.4	3.75	1.85
	3.06	3.99	1.87
	3.18	4.09	1.89	Watch
	3	3.95	1.85
	3.53	3.84	1.9
	3.35	3.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (4.11)	3.87 ↓ (4.19)	1.86 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moyola Park
27.7%

Draw
23.5%

Newington
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.4%

21.9%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

21%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moyola Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moyola Park's performance.

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moyola Park than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moyola Park that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moyola Park - Newington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to Newington for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newington	13	8	2	3	29:22	7	26
12	Moyola	12	4	2	6	14:24	-10	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyola Park
Northern Irish Championship
10.10.26	Loughgall - Moyola Park	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Moyola Park - Glenavon	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Queens University Belfast - Moyola Park	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Moyola Park - Armagh City	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Annagh United - Moyola Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WLWWL
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
09.10.26	Newington - Ards	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Institute FC - Newington	7:0 ✺
26.09.26	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Strabane Athletic - Newington	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Newington - Rathfriland Rangers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

Moyola Park - Newington