Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Zimpeto (Maputo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Guinea	RTG
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Mozambique	TVM 1
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Mozambique		Guinea

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.38	2.92	3.15	Watch
	2.43	2.95	3.24
	2.39	3.29	2.76	Watch
	2.52	2.97	3	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.14)	2.87 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
36.8%

Draw
30.6%

Guinea
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.5%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Mozambique - Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Mozambique will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Guinea will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mozambique: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mozambique (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ernan (G) Associacao Black Bulls 23. Diogo Calila Santa Clara 3. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 15. Mandava R. Sunderland 5. Langa B. Pafos 19. Witi Nacional 16. Amade A. Dunfermline 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 11. Pepo Caldas SC 17. Mexer Keciorengucu 9. Bangal F. Mestre	1. Sylla S. (G) Reims 17. Sylla D. Red Star 4. Soumah M. Gent 2. Conte A. Igdir FK 21. Sylla S. Den Haag 15. Cisse S. Leganes 20. Konate M. KV Mechelen 23. Toure A. Le Havre 10. Balde A. St. Gallen 18. Traore A. K. Leuven 12. Camara O. FC Astana
Substitutes
14. Abdala K. 10. Bauque C. Associacao Black Bulls 7. Cantolo A. Chingale de Tete 4. Chamboco Associacao Black Bulls 8. Dove E. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 18. Gildo Tadamon 6. Kambala M. Polokwane City 21. Melque A. Associacao Black Bulls 2. Nanani UD Songo 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig 22. Urrubal I. (G) 12. Zavala K. (G) Maritimo	13. Bangoura A. UE Santa Coloma 7. Camara I. Radomiak Radom 16. Camara M. (G) Simba 8. Camara O. Castellon 11. Diaby Y. Grenoble 9. Guirassy S. Dortmund 6. Janneh J. Bastia 19. Soumah S. Malmo FF 22. Sylla M. Damac
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Duarte P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Traore A. K. ⚽, Camara O. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Mandava R. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camara O. ↓,
46', Sylla D. ↓, Janneh J. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Traore A. K. ⚽, Conte A. (A),
62', Pepo ↓, Ratifo S. ↑,
62', Witi ↓, Kambala M. ↑,
68', Balde A. ↓, Diaby Y. ↑,
70', Diogo Calila ↓, Nanani ↑,
70', Bangal F. ↓, Cantolo A. ↑,
73', Conte A. 🟨,
79', Cisse S. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
85', Nene ↓, Gildo ↑,
90', Soumah M. 🟨,
90+1', Traore A. K. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mozambique won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Mozambique - Botswana	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Uganda - Mozambique	4:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	South Africa - Mozambique	2:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
10.06.25	Mozambique - Zimbabwe	1:3 ✺
07.06.25	Mozambique - Mauritius	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLT
- Guinea
FIFA World Cup
08.09.25	Guinea - Algeria	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Somalia - Guinea	0:3 ✺
African Nations Championship
15.08.25	Guinea - Algeria	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	South Africa - Guinea	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Guinea - Uganda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Guinea - Mozambique	0:1
09.06.13	Guinea - Mozambique	6:1
24.03.13	Mozambique - Guinea	0:0

Mozambique - Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide