Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Location: Nelson Mandela National Stadium (Kampala)

Referee: Mebiame P. T. (Gab)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Guinea	RTG
India	FanCode, FanCode
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uganda	FUFA TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Somalia		Guinea

	1	X	2
	11	6.25	1.25	Watch
	13.5	5.5	1.25	Watch
	11.5	5.9	1.21
	13.21	6.01	1.22
	10.82	5.57	1.25	Watch
	10.5	6.24	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.76 ↓ (23)	5.91 ↓ (7)	1.24 ↑ (1.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Somalia
8%

Draw
15.9%

Guinea
76%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

4.1%

13.5%

82.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Somalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guinea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	27.3%	63.6%

Somalia - Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Somalia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Guinea will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guinea: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Guinea (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Somalia (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Somalia (votes: 1 - 20%). Guinea (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mohamud Jama A. (G) Dekedda 17. Abdi A. A. 15. Ali M. Llandudno FC 3. Othman F. Jeddah Club 2. Farah Y. Mitrovica 4. Cali M. 6. Omar M. San Antonio FC 10. Musse A. (C) Cavalry 21. Saad Y. Skeid 7. Bwana H. South Georgia Tormenta 12. Habib B. Altona Magic	16. Camara M. (G) Simba 17. Conte A. (C) Igdir FK 5. Diakhaby M. Valencia 2. Sylla D. Red Star 3. Sylla I. Asteras Tripolis 20. Konate M. KV Mechelen 23. Toure A. Le Havre 10. Balde A. St. Gallen 15. Cisse S. Leganes 14. Sylla M. Damac 9. Guirassy S. Dortmund
Substitutes
9. Abdulkadir A. 5. Abdullahi A. Novi Pazar 20. Adan A. Dekedda 16. Ahmed F. Andamans & Nicobar 22. Hussein A. M. Horseed 23. Hussein I. A. (G) 19. Mohamed F. SalPa 14. Osman A. Dekedda 8. Sharif A. Connahs Q. 11. Suleiman M. Katwijk 18. Walic A. Gaadiidka 1. Xasan S. (G)	8. Bah A. APOEL 12. Bangoura A. 6. Bangoura A. 7. Camara I. Radomiak Radom 13. Camara O. FC Astana 11. Diaby Y. Grenoble 18. Keita M. RWDM Brussels 22. Kone I. (G) Boulogne 4. Soumah M. Gent 19. Soumah S. Malmo FF 1. Sylla S. (G) Reims 21. Sylla S. Den Haag
Coaches
Nur Y. A.	Duarte P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Toure A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Balde A. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
62', Cisse S. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Othman F. (Own goal),
68', Ali M. ↓, Adan A. ↑,
77', Bwana H. ↓, Abdulkadir A. ↑,
77', Musse A. ↓, Ahmed F. ↑,
81', Sylla I. ↓, Sylla S. ↑,
81', Sylla M. ↓, Bangoura A. ↑,
82', Diakhaby M. 🟨,
85', Guirassy S. ↓, Bangoura A. ↑,
89', Saad Y. ↓, Osman A. ↑,
90+2', Osman A. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 3, Camara O. ⚽, Bangoura A. (A),

Preview

Neutral location.

Guinea is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guinea is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Somalia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Somalia
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Botswana - Somalia	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Guinea - Somalia	0:0 ✺
10.06.24	Somalia - Botswana	1:3 ✺
07.06.24	Mozambique - Somalia	2:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
26.03.24	Eswatini - Somalia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 53.5 LTLLT
- Guinea
African Nations Championship
15.08.25	Guinea - Algeria	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	South Africa - Guinea	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Guinea - Uganda	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Niger - Guinea	0:1 ✺
Friendly
07.07.25	Senegal - Guinea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Guinea - Somalia	0:0

Somalia - Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide