Match Info

AFRICA: COSAFA Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2024, Friday

Location: Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium (Gqeberha)


	Mozambique		Namibia

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.5	2.87
	2.8	2.55	3	Watch
	2.88	2.45	3.21
	2.97	2.33	3.34	Watch
	2.6	2.62	2.9
	2.66	2.65	3.02	Watch
	2.8	2.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.7)	2.53 ↓ (2.76)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
33.3%

Draw
36.5%

Namibia
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

32.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

35.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Namibia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mozambique than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Namibia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Namibia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Mozambique - Namibia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mozambique will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Namibia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Filipe A. (G) 18. Jamisse C. Brera Tchumene 5. Pedro O. 4. Fumo D. 2. Nelson Simbine F. Al-Hala 7. Esteve Melo D. C. (C) 21. Simango U. Brera Tchumene 16. Carrelo J. Brera Tchumene 14. Dauce V. 3. Alfandega C. Associacao Black Bulls 11. Ferreira M. Liga Desportivo Maputo	16. Ndisiro K. (G) African Stars 22. Nashixwa B. T. Ramblers 5. Hambira C. (C) TS Sporting 20. Kamberipa I. Masitoaka 3. Karuuombe T. Loko Vltavin 8. Kasume R. Matebele 18. Petrus A. Cape Town City 4. Elago S. 11. Kulula E. Blue Waters 6. Shidolo M. 9. Muzeu B. Black Leopards
Substitutes
19. Candido E. J. 15. Domingos F. 8. Dove E. Kaizer Chiefs 6. Joshua A. SC Salgueiros 10. Lorenzoni G. Gudja 20. Muchanga M. Associacao Black Bulls 1. Muendane A. 17. Nhambire J. 9. Pinho G. 22. Tembe A. (G) 23. Tembe O. 13. Ze Pedro J. Sintrense	13. Abubakir A. Blue Waters 19. Amutenya P. 7. Doeseb L. 17. Haidula F. 2. Ikeinge E. Khomas Nampol 10. Kamatuka E. Sekhukhune 12. Kambanda E. African Stars 21. Maharero N. African Stars 23. Mateus J. (G) 15. Namib B. 14. Ndeunyema D. Blue Waters 1. Rukoro B. (G)
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Benjamin C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Muzeu B. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Simango U. ↓, Domingos F. ↑,
46', Elago S. ↓, Namib B. ↑,
50', Kamberipa I. 🟨,
60', Petrus A. 🟨,
73', Ferreira M. ↓, Joshua A. ↑,
78', Kulula E. ↓, Ndeunyema D. ↑,
78', Shidolo M. ↓, Doeseb L. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Domingos F. (Pen),
1, Muzeu B. (Pen),
2, Carrelo J. (Pen),
2, Hambira C. (Pen),
3, Esteve Melo D. C. (Pen),
3, Kasume R. (Pen),
4, Joshua A. (Pen),
4, Petrus A. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mozambique won 1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Namibia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Mozambique won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 6-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
COSAFA Cup
02.07.24	Mozambique - Botswana	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	South Africa - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Guinea - Mozambique	0:1 ✺
07.06.24	Mozambique - Somalia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTWW
- Namibia
COSAFA Cup
03.07.24	Namibia - Seychelles	3:1 ✺
01.07.24	Namibia - Lesotho	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Angola - Namibia	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Namibia - Tunisia	0:0 ✺
05.06.24	Namibia - Liberia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
15.07.22	Namibia - Mozambique	1:0
14.07.21	Mozambique - Namibia	1:0
26.05.19	Mozambique - Namibia	1:2
Africa Cup of Nations
16.10.18	Namibia - Mozambique	1:0
13.10.18	Mozambique - Namibia	1:2
COSAFA Cup
21.06.16	Namibia - Mozambique	3:0
30.05.15	Namibia - Mozambique	2:0

Mozambique - Namibia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide