Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio da Machava (Maputo)

Referee: Nguiene P. (Drc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Mozambique	TVM 1
Portugal	Sport TV1


	Mozambique		Eswatini

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	3.8	7.75
	1.4	4	9.5	Watch
	1.4	4	9.91
	1.42	4.08	8.7	Watch
	1.44	3.75	7
	1.45	4.09	8.95	Watch
	1.4	4	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.33)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	8.76 ↓ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
65.8%

Draw
23.5%

Eswatini
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

21.6%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Eswatini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Mozambique - Eswatini Predictions

Users Predictions: Mozambique will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Urrubal I. (G) 2. Nanani UD Songo 4. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 17. Mandava R. Atl. Madrid 5. Langa B. Almeria 6. Amadu UD Songo 8. Pepo Caldas SC 20. Catamo G. Sporting Lisbon 7. Domingues (C) UD Songo 18. Gildo Academica 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig	16. Gama X. (G) 20. Manana M. Green Mamba 6. Silenge S. 19. Mkhonta L. (C) ZESCO 3. Thwala K. Mbabane Swall. 10. Figuareido J. Richards Bay 12. Mkhontfo M. 13. Matsenjwa S. Young Buffaloes 5. Matsebula B. Young Buffaloes 14. Gamedze S. Young Buffaloes 11. Magagula A. Royal Leopards
Substitutes
16. Amade A. Septemvri Sofia 10. Bauque C. 21. Bonde J. Ferroviario Beira 3. Chamboco F. Associacao Black Bulls 12. Fazito (G) Ferroviario Nampula 9. Macamo E. Desportivo de Nacala 14. Macandza D. Costa do Sol 15. Martinho Associacao Black Bulls 11. Muiomo J. Wiltz 23. Shaquille Sagrada 19. Witi Dibba Al Hisn	4. Dlamini N. S. Nsingizini Hotspurs 7. Gwebu M. Manzini Sea Birds 17. Gwebu S. 1. Makhanya M. L. (G) Royal Leopards 2. Mamba F. 22. Masangane S. 21. Matse S. Royal Leopards 8. Mavuso T. 18. Ngwenya S. Young Buffaloes 15. Sibandze S. Young Buffaloes 9. Thwala N. Green Mamba
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Logarusic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Mkhonta L. 🟨,
26', Pepo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pepo ↓, Witi ↑,
52', Manana M. 🟨,
59', Matsebula B. ↓, Dlamini N. S. ↑,
60', Gamedze S. ↓, Mavuso T. ↑,
60', Mkhonta L. ↓, Matse S. ↑,
61', Witi ↓, Bauque C. ↑,
62', Domingues ↓, Amade A. ↑,
70', Magagula A. ↓, Mamba F. ↑,
72', Amadu ↓, Shaquille ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Ratifo S. ⚽, Langa B. (A),
79', Matsenjwa S. ↓, Gwebu M. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Mavuso T. ⚽,
82', Gildo ↓, Macamo E. ↑,

Preview

In this match Mozambique is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mozambique won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Mozambique - Guinea Bissau	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Mali - Mozambique	1:1 ✺
COSAFA Cup
07.07.24	Comoros - Mozambique	2:3 penalties ✺
05.07.24	Mozambique - Namibia	0:1 penalties ✺
02.07.24	Mozambique - Botswana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTWLW
- Eswatini
Africa Cup of Nations
10.09.24	Eswatini - Mali	0:1 ✺
05.09.24	Guinea Bissau - Eswatini	1:0 ✺
COSAFA Cup
02.07.24	South Africa - Eswatini	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:0 ✺
26.06.24	Eswatini - Botswana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
29.06.24	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:0
Friendly
24.05.22	Mozambique - Eswatini	0:1
COSAFA Cup
18.07.21	Eswatini - Mozambique	2:1 penalties

Mozambique - Eswatini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide