Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Zimpeto (Maputo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Canada	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
France	15:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	20:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mozambique	15:00	TVM 1
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	20:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	09:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Tubi TV


	Mozambique		Senegal

	1	X	2
	11.00	5.50	1.20
	18	4.8	1.2
	14.64	6.64	1.19
	13	5.7	1.22	Watch
	14	6.25	1.18
	15.1	6.55	1.18	Watch
	12	5.8	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.96 ↑ (1.17)	5.89 ↑ (5.8)	1.19 ↓ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mozambique
6.6%

Draw
15.7%

Senegal
77.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-70.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mozambique's form might have worsened.

Senegal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+70.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Senegal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mozambique - Senegal Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Siluane E. (G) Associacao Black Bulls 2. Bheu Atletico Muculmano 15. Wilson Valdez B. R. Ararat-Armenia 8. Dove E. (C) Al Quwa Al Jawiya 5. Langa B. Qarabag Agdam 21. Guima Zira FK 16. Amade A. Dunfermline 10. Catamo G. Sporting CP 18. Gildo Tadamon 19. Witi Pyunik Yerevan 9. Bangal F. Turris	1. Diouf Y. (G) Nice 6. Sy L. Auxerre 4. Sane S. Monaco 19. Niakhate M. (C) Lyon 25. Diouf M. Brentford 8. Camara L. Monaco 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 17. Sarr P. M. Juventus 7. Diao A. Como 21. Sima A. Lens 11. Jackson N. Aston Villa
Substitutes
17. Antonio D. Ferroviario Beira 4. Chamboco FUS Rabat 23. Chamito CF Os Belenenses 14. Cherene O. UD Songo 7. Edumondo A. Keciorengucu 13. Jamisse C. Brera Tchumene 6. Kambala M. Polokwane City 20. Mathe C. O. Associacao Black Bulls 3. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 22. Ventura Guirrugo J. (G) 12. Zavala K. (G) Maritimo	9. Dia B. Rennes 23. Diaw M. (G) Al Shabab 29. Fall P. M. Metz 5. Gueye I. Al Diriyah 3. Koulibaly K. Al Hilal 20. Mbaye I. Aston Villa 28. Mendy N. Hull City 24. Ndiaye R. Le Havre 27. Sarr M. Neom SC 2. Sarr M. Real Sociedad 12. Soumare I. Rennes 30. Thiam D. (G) Monza
Coaches
Francisco Q. C. J.	Vieira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Witi 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Jackson N. ⚽, Sima A. (A),
38', Guima 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Catamo G. ⚽, Witi (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Camara L. 🟨,
63', Sarr P. M. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
66', Gildo ↓, Edumondo A. ↑,
66', Bangal F. ↓, Chamito ↑,
66', Witi ↓, Chamboco ↑,
72', Bheu ↓, Cherene O. ↑,
74', Langa B. 🟨,
78', Gueye P. 🟨,
84', Diao A. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
84', Jackson N. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
89', Gueye P. ↓, Fall P. M. ↑,
90+2', Guima ↓, Kambala M. ↑,

Preview

Mozambique is ranked FIFA: 103., and Senegal is ranked FIFA: 18..

In this match, Senegal enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mozambique has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.5:2.3 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mozambique
Friendly
09.06.26	Indonesia - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Oman - Mozambique	4:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
05.01.26	Nigeria - Mozambique	4:0 ✺
31.12.25	Mozambique - Cameroon	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Gabon - Mozambique	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLLW
- Senegal
FIFA World Cup
01.07.26	Belgium - Senegal	3:2 ET ✺
26.06.26	Senegal - Iraq	5:0 ✺
22.06.26	Norway - Senegal	3:2 ✺
16.06.26	France - Senegal	3:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.26	Saudi Arabia - Senegal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
28.03.23	Mozambique - Senegal	0:1
24.03.23	Senegal - Mozambique	5:1
COSAFA Cup
17.07.22	Mozambique - Senegal	1:2 penalties
09.07.21	Senegal - Mozambique	1:0

Mozambique - Senegal