Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	TPA 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Burkina-faso	RTB
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Dash TV, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Equatorial-guinea	TVGE Internacional
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Madagascar	MATV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Mali	ORTM
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
Mozambique	TVM 1, TV Miramar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Togo	TVT
Turkey	Exxen
Uganda	UBC TV
United-kingdom	4Seven
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Zambia	ZNBC 1


	Nigeria		Mozambique

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.5	10	Watch
	1.38	4.6	8
	1.33	5.05	9.6	Watch
	1.31	5.38	10.3	Watch
	1.3	5	9.5
	1.35	5.54	9.95	Watch
	1.33	5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	5.15 ↑ (4.47)	9.48 ↑ (8.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nigeria
71.6%

Draw
18.4%

Mozambique
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

21.2%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

20.3%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nigeria than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mozambique than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	7%	4.7%

Nigeria - Mozambique Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 - Nigeria (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nigeria will win (37 of 42 users predict this - 88.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.31% – 97.89%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nigeria will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Nigeria (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Mozambique (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 2. Osayi-Samuel B. Birmingham 6. Ajayi S. Hull City 21. Bassey C. Fulham 13. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 8. Onyeka F. Brentford 4. Ndidi W. (C) Besiktas 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atalanta 9. Osimhen V. Galatasaray 22. Adams A. Sevilla	1. Siluane E. (G) Associacao Black Bulls 23. Diogo Calila Santa Clara 17. Mexer Keciorengucu 15. Mandava R. Sunderland 5. Langa B. Pafos 21. Guima Zira FK 16. Amade A. Dunfermline 10. Catamo G. Sporting CP 7. Domingues (C) UD Songo 19. Witi Nacional 9. Bangal F. Mestre
Substitutes
26. Akinsanmiro E. Pisa 20. Awaziem C. Nantes 11. Chukwueze S. Fulham 10. Dele-Bashiru F. Lazio 24. Ejuke C. Sevilla 25. Lawal S. Istra 1961 14. Mohammed U. Ironi Tiberias 28. Nnadi T. Waregem 16. Obasogie A. (G) Singida Black Stars 5. Ogbu I. Slavia Prague 19. Onuachu P. Trabzonspor 18. Onyedika R. Club Brugge 15. Simon M. Paris FC 1. Uzoho F. (G) Omonia 3. Zaidu FC Porto	20. Abdala K. Chaves 11. Bonde J. Ferroviario Beira 4. Chamboco Associacao Black Bulls 25. Chamito Academico Viseu 14. Cherene O. UD Songo 8. Dove E. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 18. Gildo Tadamon 6. Kambala M. Polokwane City 24. Melque A. UD Songo 2. Nanani UD Songo 3. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig 22. Urrubal I. (G) 12. Zavala K. (G) Maritimo
Coaches
Chelle E.	Francisco Q. C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, Adams A. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Adams A. (A),
38', Ndidi W. 🟨,
45+3', Onyeka F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Domingues ↓, Kambala M. ↑,
46', Diogo Calila ↓, Nanani ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Osimhen V. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
61', Witi ↓, Chamito ↑,
62', Bangal F. 🟨,
67', Bangal F. ↓, Ratifo S. ↑,
68', Osimhen V. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Adams A. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
82', Siluane E. ↓, Urrubal I. ↑,
83', Onyeka F. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
83', Ndidi W. ↓, Onyedika R. ↑,
86', Lookman A. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
86', Adams A. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
90+3', Bassey C. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Nigeria have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mozambique is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nigeria is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Nigeria: Dessers C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Mozambique: Diogo Calila (Injury) Nene (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nigeria won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nigeria
Africa Cup of Nations
30.12.25	Uganda - Nigeria	1:3 ✺
27.12.25	Nigeria - Tunisia	3:2 ✺
23.12.25	Nigeria - Tanzania	2:1 ✺
Friendly
16.12.25	Egypt - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
16.11.25	Nigeria - D.R. Congo	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL
- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
31.12.25	Mozambique - Cameroon	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Gabon - Mozambique	2:3 ✺
24.12.25	Ivory Coast - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
Friendly
17.12.25	Angola - Mozambique	4:1 ✺
17.11.25	Chad - Mozambique	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
16.10.23	Nigeria - Mozambique	3:2
African Nations Championship
15.01.14	Nigeria - Mozambique	4:2

Nigeria - Mozambique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide