Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 19 December 2022, Monday


	Tarxien Rainbows		Mqabba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.3	4.8	6.4
	1.34	5.01	7.55
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.32	5.05	6.95	Watch
	1.34	4.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.51)	4.81 ↑ (4.05)	6.87 ↑ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
68.1%

Draw
18.8%

Mqabba
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.1%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarxien Rainbows's performance.

Mqabba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mqabba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarxien Rainbows that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mqabba than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	7.4%	14.8%

Tarxien Rainbows - Mqabba Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Tarxien will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). Mqabba will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tarxien: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group) and 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Tarxien is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mqabba is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tarxien is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tarxien to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
15.12.22	Zejtun Corinthians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:4 ✺
11.12.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Qrendi	4:0 ✺
04.12.22	Marsa - Tarxien Rainbows	3:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
16.11.22	Kalkara - Tarxien Rainbows	0:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
13.11.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWTWT
- Mqabba FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.12.22	Mqabba - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Swieqi United - Mqabba	5:5 ✺
03.12.22	Mqabba - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Melita - Mqabba	2:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
15.11.22	Mqabba - Victoria Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLW

Tarxien Rainbows - Mqabba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide