The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mqabba 27.5%
Draw 26.1%
Żurrieq 46.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
27.3%
39.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
27.3%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mqabba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mqabba's form might have worsened.
Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Żurrieq's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mqabba than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mqabba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Żurrieq, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
0%
70%
Mqabba - Żurrieq Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mqabba will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Żurrieq will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for Żurrieq: 41.6% – 98.4%.
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group)).
Mqabba is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Żurrieq is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Żurrieq could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.