Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Msida Saint-Joseph		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.62
	4.5	3.75	1.63	Watch
	4.32	3.27	1.66
	4.61	3.6	1.66
	4.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.07)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Msida Saint-Joseph
20.3%

Draw
24.8%

Lija Athletic
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.9%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

20.7%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Msida Saint-Joseph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Msida Saint-Joseph than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Msida Saint-Joseph, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lija Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Msida has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lija is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Msida have a series of guest games.

In this match Lija is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Msida won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Msida Saint-Joseph FC
Maltese Challenge League
11.02.24	Luqa St. Andrews - Msida Saint-Joseph	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	St. Andrews - Msida Saint-Joseph	3:2 ✺
28.01.24	Msida Saint-Joseph - Luqa St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Żurrieq - Msida Saint-Joseph	1:0 ✺
06.01.24	Żabbar St. Patrick - Msida Saint-Joseph	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
11.02.24	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Hamrun Spartans - Lija Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
25.10.23	Lija Athletic - Msida Saint-Joseph	3:2

Msida Saint-Joseph - Lija Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide