Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 14

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Popondetta Park (Sydney)


	Mt Druitt Town Rangers		Sutherland Sharks

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.5
	1.92	3.75	3.2	Watch
	1.82	3.86	3.88
	1.92	3.76	3.59
	2.6	3.6	2.3
	1.86	4.03	3.52	Watch
	1.92	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.7)	3.76 ↓ (3.84)	3.17 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
45.5%

Draw
24.9%

Sutherland Sharks
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

23.7%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

22.2%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mt Druitt Town Rangers's performance.

Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sutherland Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mt Druitt Town Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sutherland Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mt Druitt Rangers won 1.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Sutherland Sharks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mt Druitt Rangers won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mt Druitt Rangers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
04.05.25	Sydney United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Wollongong Wolves - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sydney Olympic	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sutherland Sharks
Australian NPL NSW
03.05.25	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:2 ✺
24.04.25	Sydney FC U23 - Sutherland Sharks	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Sutherland Sharks - St. George City	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Wollongong Wolves - Sutherland Sharks	4:0 ✺
05.04.25	Blacktown City - Sutherland Sharks	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
08.08.23	Sutherland Sharks - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	1:1
22.04.23	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks	1:2
11.06.22	Sutherland Sharks - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	0:2
25.03.22	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks	2:3
12.06.21	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks	0:1
27.03.21	Sutherland Sharks - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	4:1
27.07.19	Sutherland Sharks - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:4

Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide