Match Info

Challenge League - Round 8

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mtarfa		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.95	1.42
	5.3	5.86	1.46
	4.2	5.68	1.47	Watch
	9.5	5	1.25
	5.33	4.55	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.86 ↑ (5.44)	5.21 ↑ (4.33)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
15.9%

Draw
17.9%

Żebbuġ Rangers
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.9%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Żebbuġ Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mtarfa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Żebbuġ (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Sultana T. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Falzon D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Grech K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 1, Arriagada F. ⚽,
81', 4 - 1, Ilic O. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Żebbuġ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Żebbuġ is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
30.11.25	Balzan - Mtarfa	4:0 ✺
22.11.25	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Mtarfa	8:2 ✺
25.10.25	Mtarfa - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Melita - Mtarfa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
23.11.25	Swieqi United - Żebbuġ Rangers	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mġarr United	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Sirens	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
08.03.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	0:2
25.01.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	4:1

Mtarfa - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide