Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mtarfa		Vittoriosa Stars

	1	X	2
				Watch
	25	10.13	1.04	Watch
	29	13.5	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	27 ↑ (25)	11.82 ↑ (10.13)	1.03 ↓ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
3.4%

Draw
7.7%

Vittoriosa Stars
88.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.6%

87.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Vittoriosa Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+5', 0 - 1, Micallef I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Mtarfa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vittoriosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vittoriosa is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
15.03.26	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mtarfa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mtarfa - Sirens	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
15.03.26	Mġarr United - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
22.11.25	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	1:2
15.04.23	Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars	0:0
03.12.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Mtarfa	3:0

Mtarfa - Vittoriosa Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide