Match Info

Challenge League - Round 14

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Mtarfa		Pietà Hotspurs

	1	X	2
	15.5	7.7	1.09	Watch
	17.39	9.42	1.07
	16.45	8.59	1.09	Watch
	26	8	1.08
	18.9	8.93	1.09
	14	6.66	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	18.04 ↓ (18.37)	8.22 ↑ (7.69)	1.09 ↓ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtarfa
5.1%

Draw
11.1%

Pietà Hotspurs
83.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

83.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Pietà Hotspurs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', 0 - 1, Arthur ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Arthur ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Micallef J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 0 - 4, Brincat J. ⚽,
73', 0 - 5, Arthur (Penalty Awarded),
76', 0 - 6, Borg J. ⚽,
82', Muscat R. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Mtarfa is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pietà Hotspurs has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Pietà Hotspurs is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Mtarfa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Pieta	2	1	0	1	5:5	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
31.01.26	Swieqi United - Mtarfa	8:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mtarfa - Mġarr United	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Żurrieq - Mtarfa	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Mtarfa - Gudja United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTLL
- Pietà Hotspurs
Maltese Challenge League
31.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Fgura United	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sirens - Pietà Hotspurs	4:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
21.12.25	Swieqi United - Pietà Hotspurs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
04.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Mtarfa	5:0
Maltese Challenge League
15.12.24	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	1:1

Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide