Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 12

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Manungu Stadium (Turiani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mtibwa Sugar		Pamba

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.72	3.6
	2.46	2.74	2.99
	3.30	1.94	3.81	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.27	2.89	3.41
	2.4	2.71	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.22)	2.58 ↓ (2.8)	3.29 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtibwa Sugar
36.5%

Draw
35.5%

Pamba
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Reuben T. (G) 29. Chota G. 16. Collins V. 13. Datius P. 69. Evance F. 6. Lyawatwa H. (C) 21. Magata F. 11. Mhesa I. 45. Mkopi S. A. 17. Msafiri K. 2. Mwashilindi E.	33. Amosi Y. (G) 3. Abraham I. 5. Eshihanda B. 36. Jafari H. 19. Lwasa P. 2. Mangalo A. 30. Mayombya Z. 23. Mwashinga J. 24. Naftal K. 10. Nahimana S. 14. Yonta Camara A.
Substitutes
20. Chicharo . Dio D. (G) . Haji R. 25. Hillary A. 14. Laurent A. 9. Liuzio J. 27. Manga O. 19. Marungu O. A. 12. Nyangi J. . Simchimba A.	12. Antwi S. . Chambela K. . Kunambi K. . Lutonja H. . Nakibinge J. . Oyugi Siwa S. 9. Tegisi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Jafari H. 🟨,
25', Eshihanda B. ↓, Kunambi K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Mhesa I. ↓, Marungu O. A. ↑,
60', Mkopi S. A. ↓, Simchimba A. ↑,
69', Abraham I. ↓, Nakibinge J. ↑,
78', Magata F. ↓, Muhenga T. ↑,
89', Mayombya Z. ↓, Oyugi Siwa S. ↑,
89', Datius P. ↓, Manga O. ↑,
89', Msafiri K. ↓, Liuzio J. ↑,
89', Lyawatwa H. 🟨,
90+1', Evance F. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Muhenga T. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Mtibwa Sugar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pamba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mtibwa Sugar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pamba	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
21.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Kinondoni MC - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WTTWT
- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
06.12.25	Prisons - Pamba	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Pamba - Kinondoni MC	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Pamba - Singida Fountain Gate	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Pamba - Singida Black Stars	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Dodoma Jiji - Pamba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWTL

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