Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 10

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Isamuhyo Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	JKT Tanzania		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.45	6.3
	1.68	3.19	5.11
	1.71	3.22	5.26	Watch
	1.67	3	5
	1.68	3.2	5.16	Watch
	1.68	3.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	5.31 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JKT Tanzania
54.7%

Draw
28.2%

Mtibwa Sugar
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.7%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

24.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JKT Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JKT Tanzania than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JKT Tanzania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtibwa Sugar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gonzo O. (G) 11. Bakari M. 12. Bryson D. 4. Kapalata H. 29. Khamis S. 31. Machezo A. 26. Makame L. 42. Msengi A. 41. Mussa P. 51. Peter P. 25. Yahaya S.	38. Malimi C. (G) 20. Chicharo 29. Chota G. 16. Collins V. 10. Hafidh R. 5. Ibrahim I. 7. Kiziwa N. 6. Lyawatwa H. 27. Manga O. 19. Marungu O. A. 12. Nyangi J.
Substitutes
. Bajana S. . Bausi A. . Chalamanda R. (G) . Josiah A. . Karabaka S. . Kilemile A. . Mashaka V. . Mfaume K. . Ndemla S. . Songo E.	. Buzungu O. . Datius P. . Kutisha T. (G) . Laurent A. . Mbigiri S. . Mhesa I. . Msafiri K. . Mwashilindi E. . Simchimba A. . Tumbagani H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).

JKT Tanzania is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mtibwa Sugar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JKT Tanzania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, JKT Tanzania is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JKT Tanzania won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JKT Tanzania won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JKT Tanzania
Tanzanian Premier League
30.11.25	Singida Fountain Gate - JKT Tanzania	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	JKT Tanzania - TRA United	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Kinondoni MC - JKT Tanzania	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	JKT Tanzania - Simba	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Mbeya City - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLT
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
29.11.25	Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Kinondoni MC - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.04.24	JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1
03.11.23	Mtibwa Sugar - JKT Tanzania	1:2
18.07.21	JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	2:1
19.12.20	Mtibwa Sugar - JKT Tanzania	1:0
25.01.19	JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0

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