Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Muğlaspor		24 Erzincanspor

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.65	7.3
	1.33	4.8	7.86
	1.27	4.63	10.87	Watch
	1.34	4.33	8.2
	1.26	4.5	12.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.5)	4.58 ↑ (3.8)	9.27 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muğlaspor
70%

Draw
20.1%

24 Erzincanspor
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

23.7%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.8%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muğlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Muğlaspor's performance.

24 Erzincanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 24 Erzincanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Muğlaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 24 Erzincanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Muğlaspor - 24 Erzincanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Abdioglu Y. (Pen),
42', 2 - 0, Otkun C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Muğlaspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

24 Erzincanspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Muğlaspor is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Muğlaspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muğlaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Muğlaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muğlaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
12.10.25	Iskenderunspor - Muğlaspor	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Muğlaspor - Erbaaspor	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	İnegölspor - Muğlaspor	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Muğlaspor - Kepez Belediyesi	4:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.09.25	Eskişehirspor - Muğlaspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League White Group
12.10.25	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Şanlıurfaspor - 24 Erzincanspor	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	24 Erzincanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	24 Erzincanspor - Batman Petrolspor	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
16.03.19	Muğlaspor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:0
27.10.18	24 Erzincanspor - Muğlaspor	1:0

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