Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 35

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Muğlaspor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	5.55
	1.48	4.12	5.78
	1.48	4.17	5.85	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6
	1.43	4.05	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)	4 ↑ (3.88)	5.93 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muğlaspor
62.2%

Draw
22.5%

Karacabey Belediyespor
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

23.4%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muğlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muğlaspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Muğlaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Engul B. ⚽, Kose I. C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Engul B. ⚽, Ozdiraz M. (A),
83', 0 - 3, Derin M. ⚽, Kose I. C. (A),

Preview

Recent form of Muğlaspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Karacabey Bld is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Muğlaspor is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muğlaspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Muğlaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muğlaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
04.04.26	Batman Petrolspor - Muğlaspor	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Muğlaspor - Altınordu	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Muğlaspor	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Muğlaspor - Ankaragücü	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Elazığspor - Muğlaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTWL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
04.04.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	4:0 ✺
29.03.26	Şanlıurfaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Batman Petrolspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Karacabey Belediyespor - Altınordu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
12.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
01.03.20	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	1:1
20.10.19	Muğlaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:2
27.01.19	Karacabey Belediyespor - Muğlaspor	2:1
08.09.18	Muğlaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0

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