Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN - CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Mustapekka Areena (Helsinki)


	Gnistan		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.7	4.01	4.74
	1.65	3.5	4.5
	1.66	3.94	4.5
	1.64	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.71)	3.74 ↓ (4.07)	4.49 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
55%

Draw
24.6%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

22.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mikkelin Palloilijat will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Koski J. (C) 30. Mabinda J. 32. Ala-Iso S. 16. Rasimus K. 14. Olander H. 24. Sukunda Z. 20. Medo 17. Sarr M. 28. Kabashi A. 10. Latonen J. 9. Markkanen E.	1. Honka-Hallila A. (C) 2. Urgenc B. 63. Kilpelainen O. 3. Vehkonen V. 15. Laitinen J. 24. Kilpelainen J. 26. Kuismala J. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 23. Ylonen E. 34. Ruoppi O. 16. Stenius S.
Substitutes
23. Liikonen K. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 5. Takamaki T. 19. Tolonen M. 7. Weckstrom L. 6. Woivalin H.	10. Avdi E. 19. Babatunde A. 69. Forsell N. 6. Heinonen J. 11. Lehtonen R. 8. Leinonen N. 12. Uronen J. (G)
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Pasoja J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 2.

Gnistan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mikkelin Palloilijat is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gnistan to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Gnistan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
22.09.23	HIFK - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Gnistan - TPS	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Gnistan - Salon Palloilijat	3:2 ✺
27.08.23	SJK Akatemia - Gnistan	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Gnistan - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWT
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
23.09.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - SJK Akatemia	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - TPS	0:1 ✺
27.08.23	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	JJK Jyväskylä - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
30.07.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Gnistan	0:0
21.05.23	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1
Finnish Ykkoscup
21.01.23	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:0
Finnish Ykkonen
08.10.22	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1
28.08.22	Gnistan - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2
18.06.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Gnistan	1:1
22.08.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Gnistan	2:1

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