Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chang Arena (Buriram) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	23:15	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Bulgaria	14:15	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	20:15	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	13:15	SportKlub 1
Georgia	16:15	Silk Sport 1
Hong Kong	20:15	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	17:45	FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	19:15	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Iran	15:45	IRIB Varzesh
Japan	21:15	DAZN Japan
Macao	20:15	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	20:15	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Pakistan	17:15	Tapmad
Russia	15:15	TV Start
Slovenia	13:15	SportKlub 3
South Korea	21:15	Coupang Play
Turkey	15:15	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	14:15	Sport 2, Sport 3
International	12:15	Sport 2 Baltic


	Buriram United		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.95	6.3	Watch
	1.61	4.22	4.43	Watch
	1.42	5.29	6.31	Watch
	1.53	4.64	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	4.78 ↑ (4.22)	5.52 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
63.2%

Draw
19.7%

Shanghai Port
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

21.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buriram United's performance.

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Buriram United - Shanghai Port Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Buriram (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Shanghai Port (4.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Buriram United will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Buriram (votes: 3 - 75%). Shanghai Port (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 16. Dougall K. (C) 6. Good C. 19. Schindler K. 23. Causic G. 5. Bunmathan T. 30. Stojkovic F. 32. Zulj R. 9. Jaided S. 7. Bissoli	1. Yan Junling (G) 29. Jojo A. C. 13. Wei Zhen 3. Browning Tyias 4. Wang Shenchao (C) 22. Matheus Jussa 10. Mateus Vital 20. Yang Shiyuan 21. Melendo O. 40. Yusup Umidjan 14. Li Shenglong
Substitutes
4. Bauer R. 34. Bootprom C. (G) 21. Despotovic D. 17. Fandi I. 2. Haiprakon S. 3. Hemviboon P. 55. Ibiza 8. Maikami R. 10. Mueanta S. 99. Mulic F. 27. Sukjitthammakul P.	12. Chen Wei (G) 23. Fu Huan 36. Haliq Ablahan 53. Li Zhiliang (G) 11. Lu Wenjun 52. Meng Jingchao 15. Ming Tian 6. Xu Xin 5. Zhang Linpeng
Coaches
Jackson M.	Muscat K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Jaided S. ⚽, Zulj R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yang Shiyuan ↓, Xu Xin ↑,
46', Jojo A. C. ↓, Lu Wenjun ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Good C. ⚽, Causic G. (A),
69', Bunmathan T. ↓, Sukjitthammakul P. ↑,
73', Jaided S. ↓, Despotovic D. ↑,
74', Browning Tyias ↓, Zhang Linpeng ↑,
74', Wang Shenchao ↓, Ming Tian ↑,
86', Melendo O. ↓, Meng Jingchao ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Shanghai Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buriram is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buriram won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
01.11.25	Buriram United - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Buriram United - Rayong FC	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Melbourne City - Buriram United	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
05.10.25	Buriram United - Pathum United	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	FC Seoul - Buriram United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLTL
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Shanghai Port - Zhejiang Professional	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Port	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
21.10.25	Shanghai Port - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
17.10.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Port	3:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shanghai Port	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
28.01.20	Shanghai Port - Buriram United	3:0

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