The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Muangthong United 42.4%
Draw 26%
Rayong FC 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
24.3%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
23.8%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muangthong United's form might have worsened.
Rayong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muangthong United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayong FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Muangthong United - Rayong FC Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Rayong FC (1.81) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Muangthong United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rayong FC (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gremsl A. (G) 19. Do T. (C) 4. Tsonkov S. 28. Kim Dong-Su 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 34. Khamyok K. 6. Strauss J. 8. Tasa K. 14. Panthong S. 45. Saric M. 9. Lorenzen M.
30. Ganthong W. (G) 5. Phusirit W. 6. Joao Afonso 35. Nontharath K. 11. Pongsuwan S. 90. Kaminthong P. 15. Sontisawat S. 88. Ott Ma. 41. Ito R. 18. Junior S. (C) 7. Sarakum M.
Substitutes
16. Chaikultewin W. 35. Chansri T. 18. Danuphon B. 27. Kempter M. 29. Kraikruan S. 22. Nuntagowat T. 23. Phosri S. 33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 39. Seangsawat K. 17. Thodsanid P. 21. Thodsanit P. 7. Willian Popp
8. Aleman K. 54. Boonkerd C. (G) 31. Harape P. 13. Hempandan T. 74. Ittiprasert P. 10. Kunmee S. 22. Ratree S. 19. Romphopak S. 36. Srisupha W. (G) 99. Weslen Junior 80. Withunat W.
Coaches
Ivankovic M.
Punpee J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Junior S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kaminthong P. ↓, Weslen Junior ↑,
46', Tsonkov S. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
56', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Sarakum M. ⚽, Ito R. (A),
66', Panthong S. ↓, Thodsanit P. ↑,
67', Sawatlakhorn W. ↓, Thodsanid P. ↑,
67', Saric M. ↓, Chansri T. ↑,
76', Sarakum M. ↓, Ratree S. ↑,
78', Thodsanid P. 🟥,
86', Nontharath K. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Lorenzen M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 1 - 3, Junior S. ⚽,
90+10', Phusirit W. ↓, Romphopak S. ↑,
90+11', Ito R. ↓, Aleman K. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 6).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Muangthong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).