Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Thunderdome Stadium (Nonthaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Muangthong United		Thai Port

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.78	Watch
	4.05	3.8	1.84
	3.93	3.94	1.73	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.75
	3.86	3.91	1.8	Watch
	4	3.6	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.59)	3.69 ↓ (3.7)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muangthong United
23.7%

Draw
24.7%

Thai Port
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

24.9%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.3%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Thai Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai Port than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Muangthong United - Thai Port Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pipatnadda K. (G) 19. Do T. (C) 34. Khamyok K. 28. Kim Dong-Su 3. Sawatlakhorn W. 27. Kempter M. 14. Panthong S. 24. Ahannach A. 7. Willian Popp 45. Saric M. 29. Kraikruan S.	93. Falkesgaard M. (G) 4. Bureerat S. 36. Akkratum P. 22. Sulaka R. 13. Lins M. 14. Poeiphimai T. 33. Shimura N. 5. Chamratsamee P. (C) 10. Phala B. 12. Kaka Mendes 18. Perea B.
Substitutes
16. Chaikultewin W. 35. Chansri T. 18. Danuphon B. 1. Gremsl A. (G) 9. Lorenzen M. 22. Nuntagowat T. 23. Phosri S. 39. Seangsawat K. 8. Tasa K. 17. Thodsanid P. 21. Thodsanit P. 4. Tsonkov S.	26. Buran C. 17. Fandi I. 44. Kanitsribampen W. 6. Karin C. 8. Kesarat T. 7. Leonardo Kalil 27. Lucas Tocantins 38. Phosri N. 9. Stephen Berg A. 21. Tiatrakul S. 16. Wongchai C. 1. Yos S. (G)
Coaches
Ivankovic M.	Gama A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Sawatlakhorn W. 🟨,
45', Poeiphimai T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sawatlakhorn W. ↓, Tasa K. ↑,
58', Do T. 🟨,
62', Khamyok K. 🟨,
64', Phala B. ↓, Kanitsribampen W. ↑,
64', Perea B. ↓, Lucas Tocantins ↑,
75', Ahannach A. ↓, Nuntagowat T. ↑,
82', Akkratum P. 🟨,
82', Shimura N. ↓, Kesarat T. ↑,
85', Khamyok K. ↓, Chaikultewin W. ↑,
86', Poeiphimai T. ↓, Leonardo Kalil ↑,
90+1', Willian Popp 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 0.

Muangthong United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Port is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Port may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Port is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Port MTI FC	3	2	0	1	5:4	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Thai Port - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.49%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muangthong United
Thai League 1
22.02.26	Bangkok United - Muangthong United	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Muangthong United - Lamphun Warriors	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Ratchaburi - Muangthong United	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Muangthong United - Rayong FC	1:3 ✺
Thai League Cup
21.01.26	Muangthong United - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Thai Port FC
Thai League 1
21.02.26	Thai Port - Nakhon Ratchasima	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Kanchanaburi - Thai Port	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Chonburi - Thai Port	3:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Thai Port - Ayutthaya United	2:1 ✺
Thai League 1
24.01.26	Thai Port - Ratchaburi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
24.10.25	Thai Port - Muangthong United	1:0
09.03.25	Muangthong United - Thai Port	1:2
27.10.24	Thai Port - Muangthong United	1:1
14.02.24	Thai Port - Muangthong United	4:3
28.08.23	Muangthong United - Thai Port	1:3
05.03.23	Thai Port - Muangthong United	2:3
09.10.22	Muangthong United - Thai Port	0:0

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