Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday


	Muhoroni Youth		Police FC

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.99	2.04
	3.2	2.9	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.63)	2.95 ↑ (2.88)	2.16 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muhoroni Youth
26.8%

Draw
30.9%

Police FC
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

31.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muhoroni Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muhoroni Youth's form might have worsened.

Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muhoroni Youth than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muhoroni Youth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 8).

Muhoroni has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Police FC is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Police FC to win the game is with odds 2.56.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muhoroni Youth
Kenyan Premier League
03.12.23	Bandari - Muhoroni Youth	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Muhoroni Youth - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Talanta - Muhoroni Youth	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Muhoroni Youth - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Bidco United - Muhoroni Youth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
03.12.23	Police FC - Muranga Seal	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Nzoia United - Police FC	1:3 ✺
10.11.23	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Gor Mahia - Police FC	0:0 ✺
01.11.23	Bandari - Police FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTL

Muhoroni Youth - Police FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide