Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 24

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Police FC		Muranga Seal

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	7
	1.49	3.58	7.35	Watch
	1.43	3.64	8.05
	1.47	3.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.75)	3.61 ↑ (3)	7.35 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
62.3%

Draw
25.3%

Muranga Seal
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

30.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29.4%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Police FC's performance.

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Muranga Seal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Police FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Police FC - Muranga Seal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Bajaber M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Irishura D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 3 - 1, Bajaber M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 and 15).

Recent matches Police is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muranga has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Police is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Police won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Police won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
04.03.25	Police FC - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
20.02.25	Mathare United - Police FC	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Police FC - Bidco United	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Tusker - Police FC	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Police FC - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWTT
- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
02.03.25	Muranga Seal - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
19.02.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Muranga Seal - Ulinzi Stars	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Kenya CB - Muranga Seal	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Muranga Seal - Bandari	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.01.25	Muranga Seal - Police FC	0:1
03.12.23	Police FC - Muranga Seal	2:0

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