Match Info

KENYA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Gor Mahia		Police FC

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.72
	1.83	3.01	3.72
	2.02	3.08	3.54
	1.95	3.2	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.13)	3.12 ↑ (2.89)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gor Mahia
46.6%

Draw
28.8%

Police FC
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

30.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 and 13).

Gor Mahia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Police FC is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gor Mahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gor Mahia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gor Mahia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
01.11.23	Shabana - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Gor Mahia - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Tusker - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWT
- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.11.23	Bandari - Police FC	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Police FC - Talanta	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Sofapaka - Police FC	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Nairobi City Stars - Police FC	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Police FC - Bidco United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.04.23	Police FC - Gor Mahia	0:1
25.02.23	Gor Mahia - Police FC	2:1
13.03.22	Gor Mahia - Police FC	0:2
06.11.21	Police FC - Gor Mahia	1:1

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