Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Police FC		Ulinzi Stars

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.52	4.65
	2.19	2.84	4.88
	2.30	2.56	3.82	Watch
	2.01	2.73	4.25
	1.75	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.78)	2.73 ↓ (3)	4.47 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police FC
45.3%

Draw
34%

Ulinzi Stars
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

30.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police FC's form might have worsened.

Ulinzi Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Police FC - Ulinzi Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.

In recent matches, Police has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ulinzi Stars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Police is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Police won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Police FC
CAF Champions League
28.09.25	Police FC - Mogadishu City	0:2 ✺
Kenyan Super Cup
14.09.25	Police FC - Nairobi United	Canceled ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
08.09.25	Ethiopia Bunna - Police FC	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Police FC - Singida Black Stars	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Garde-Cotes - Police FC	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WLW
- Ulinzi Stars
Kenyan Premier League
24.09.25	Ulinzi Stars - Kariobangi Sharks	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Muranga Seal - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Mathare United - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
14.05.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
18.04.25	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	0:1
20.10.24	Ulinzi Stars - Police FC	0:0
04.03.24	Ulinzi Stars - Police FC	0:0
10.11.23	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	2:0
26.05.23	Ulinzi Stars - Police FC	1:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.04.23	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	1:2
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.23	Police FC - Ulinzi Stars	0:0

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