Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Muleño		Ciudad de Murcia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.87
	3.5	3.05	1.87
	3.7	3.1	1.86
	3.78	3.16	1.88
	4.4	3.24	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (4.26)	3.19 ↓ (3.7)	1.85 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muleño
23.8%

Draw
28%

Ciudad de Murcia
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.8%

24%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.9%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Ciudad de Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Muleño has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ciudad de Murcia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ciudad de Murcia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ciudad de Murcia to win the game is with odds 1.79.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Muleño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Muleño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.11.22	Cieza - Muleño	3:2 ✺
16.11.22	La Unión - Muleño	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Muleño - Águilas	0:5 ✺
30.10.22	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	5:1 ✺
23.10.22	Muleño - Unión Molinense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.11.22	Ciudad de Murcia - La Unión	2:1 ✺
16.11.22	Águilas - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
30.10.22	Unión Molinense - Ciudad de Murcia	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.03.21	Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1
06.12.20	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	0:2
17.11.19	Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia	1:2
14.04.19	Ciudad de Murcia - Muleño	2:0

Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Muleño - Ciudad de Murcia Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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