Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 29

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Muleño		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.51
	5.2	4.3	1.49
	6.45	3.72	1.48
	5.2	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.53 ↓ (5.72)	4.03 ↑ (3.58)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muleño
16.5%

Draw
22.6%

Lorca Deportiva
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

25.4%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

24.7%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Muleño - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 1, Peque ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 2, Guillen A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Muleño won 0.

Recent matches Muleño is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorca Deportiva is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Muleño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Muleño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 1.1:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Muleño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muleño CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
30.03.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	Muleño - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
19.03.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Muleño	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Real Murcia B - Muleño	5:0 ✺
08.03.25	Muleño - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTTLW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
30.03.25	Lorca Deportiva - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Plus Ultra - Lorca Deportiva	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Águilas B - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Lorca Deportiva - Santomera	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.03.24	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	0:0
05.11.23	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2
26.02.23	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	0:1
30.10.22	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	5:1
26.01.20	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	1:3
07.09.19	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	6:3
07.01.19	Lorca Deportiva - Muleño	0:2

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