Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco (Lorca)


	Lorca Deportiva		Santomera

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.25	5
	1.63	3.35	5.44
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)	3.3 ↑ (3.22)	5.22 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
55.4%

Draw
27.3%

Santomera
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.8%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santomera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santomera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorca Deportiva - Santomera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Carrasco A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Carrasco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Rubira Riquelme R. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Carrasco A. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Cristo ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Santomera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.02.25	UCAM Murcia B - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Lorca Deportiva - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cartagena B - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Lorca Deportiva - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Cieza - Lorca Deportiva	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTL
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.02.25	Santomera - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Santomera - UCAM Murcia B	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Real Murcia B - Santomera	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Santomera	1:4 ✺
12.01.25	Cieza - Santomera	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.10.24	Santomera - Lorca Deportiva	2:1

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