Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Municipal Jalapa		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.30	2.15
	2.88	3.2	2.25	Watch
	2.83	3.52	2.25
	2.81	3.55	2.32	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.2
	3.14	3.25	2.26	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.97)	3.35 ↓ (3.69)	2.24 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Municipal Jalapa
32%

Draw
27.2%

Real Estelí
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Jalapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Jalapa's performance.

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Estelí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jalapa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Real Estelí will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jalapa: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jalapa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 0.

Real Estelí will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jalapa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jalapa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18
9	Jalapa	10	1	2	7	6:16	-10	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Estelí - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.09%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ART Municipal Jalapa
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.07.26	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Municipal Jalapa - Walter Ferretti	1:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
04.07.26	Matagalpa - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.05.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLT
- Real Estelí
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.07.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Real Estelí - UNAN Managua	1:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
11.07.26	Real Estelí - Xilotepelt	2:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.05.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:2 penalties ✺
09.05.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
06.05.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	3:1
02.05.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:0
05.03.26	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	2:1
01.02.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	2:2
19.10.25	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	1:1
26.07.25	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	4:2
06.11.24	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	5:1

Upcoming Matches