The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Liberia 59.3%
Draw 23.5%
Santa Ana 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
25.8%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
20%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Liberia's performance.
Santa Ana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-18.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Liberia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Ana than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Ana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Municipal Liberia - Santa Ana Predictions
Users Predictions:
Municipal Liberia will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 10. Angulo M. 24. Francis W. 37. Fuller K. 34. Henestrosa J. 7. Montenegro J. 2. Mosquera E. 20. Pilone M. 15. Reyes C. (C) 5. Rios J. 11. Sequeira B.
18. Quesada A. (G) 16. Arteaga J. 17. Camareno J. 33. Casado E. 15. Chevez A. 21. Juarez F. 6. Madrigal J. 50. Masis D. 24. Meneses Salazar M. J. 4. Morejon D. 14. Russell M.
Substitutes
26. Colindres D. 98. Gomez I. 30. Huertas J. 9. Leiva G. 32. Monge J. 12. Sanchez J. 23. Villegas D. (G)
31. Barrantes M. 19. Castro G. 8. Condega J. 10. Martinez J. 95. Nixon Guylherme 7. Ortiz J. 1. Pemberton P. (G)
Coaches
Diaz M.
Oviedo C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sequeira B. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Angulo M. (Pen),
36', Juarez F. ↓, Barrantes M. ↑,
36', Masis D. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Casado E. ↓, Nixon Guylherme ↑,
46', Morejon D. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
62', Russell M. ↓, Condega J. ↑,
65', Angulo M. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
77', Chevez A. 🟥,
84', 3 - 0, Sequeira B. ⚽, Francis W. (A),
86', Pilone M. ↓, Huertas J. ↑,
86', Montenegro J. ↓, Colindres D. ↑,
86', Sequeira B. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
87', Henestrosa J. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Colindres D. (Pen),
89', Quesada A. 🟨,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12).
Recent matches Municipal Liberia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Santa Ana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Municipal Liberia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Municipal Liberia is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Municipal Liberia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Municipal Liberia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3