Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Municipal Liberia		Deportivo Saprissa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.66	3.2	2.22
	3.49	3.14	2.18	Watch
	3.2	2.88	2.1
	3.48	3.02	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.58)	3.1 ↓ (3.33)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Liberia
27.3%

Draw
29.7%

Deportivo Saprissa
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28.3%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Deportivo Saprissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 7. Johnson S. 30. Huertas J. 5. Molina Y. 15. Reyes C. 42. Ruiz J. 19. Arevalo T. 31. Padilla S. 4. Rios J. 16. Hernandez A. 11. Torres E.	40. Madriz A. (G) 22. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 12. Blanco R. 17. Taylor Dosman G. G. 4. Waston K. 10. Brenes J. 8. Guzman D. 9. Rodriguez T. 28. Torres G. 24. Sinclair O. 7. Hernandez B.
Substitutes
32. Castrillo J. (G) 38. Chal J. 24. Francis W. 84. Gutierrez Y. 22. Hudson A. 21. Orellano L. 6. Pena R. 99. Ramirez R. 3. Sequeira D. 12. Zuniga F.	30. Alvarez M. (G) 3. Arboine P. 39. Barahona A. 27. Chirino R. 50. Elizondo M. 38. Gonzalez K. 11. Loria M. 5. Mora J. 14. Rodriguez A. 15. Vega D.
Coaches
Cardozo J.	Medford H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Arevalo T. ⚽,
17', Rios J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rios J. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
59', Torres G. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
63', Guzman D. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
67', Sinclair O. ↓, Loria M. ↑,
68', Johnson S. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
69', Torres E. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,
73', Huertas J. 🟨,
75', Reyes C. ↓, Chal J. ↑,
77', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
79', Hudson A. 🟨,
81', Brenes J. ↓, Barahona A. ↑,
81', Hernandez B. ↓, Mora J. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 1.

Municipal Liberia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Saprissa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Municipal Liberia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saprissa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Saprissa	9	7	0	2	20:10	10	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
26.04.26	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Sporting San José - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Municipal Liberia - San Carlos	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WWWWW
- Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division
26.04.26	Puntarenas FC - Deportivo Saprissa	1:3 ✺
22.04.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Guadalupe	5:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
15.04.26	Sporting San José - Deportivo Saprissa	1:3 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
12.04.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
12.04.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:2
Costa Rican Copa
25.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1
30.11.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	3:1
17.08.25	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	2:2
16.03.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:1
01.02.25	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	2:3

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