Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno (Liberia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Municipal Liberia		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.6	3.25	1.98
	3.97	3.3	2.02
	3.85	3.41	1.96	Watch
	3.7	2.9	1.95
	3.86	3.16	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.66)	3.21 ↑ (3.12)	1.96 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Liberia
24.7%

Draw
28.6%

Alajuelense
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal Liberia's form might have worsened.

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Municipal Liberia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alajuelense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monreal A. (G) 7. Johnson S. 30. Huertas J. 15. Reyes C. (C) 5. Molina Y. 42. Ruiz J. 19. Arevalo T. 24. Francis W. 31. Padilla S. 11. Torres E. 16. Hernandez A.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (C) 26. Pinar F. 46. Aguilar J. 24. Salazar A. 22. Matarrita R. 14. Bran Flores A. J. 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 7. Hernandez A. 11. Vargas K. 18. Cisneros R.
Substitutes
32. Castrillo J. (G) 38. Chal J. 84. Gutierrez Y. 22. Hudson A. 21. Orellano L. 6. Pena R. 99. Ramirez R. 4. Rios J. 3. Sequeira D. 12. Zuniga F.	29. Aguilar D. 27. Alvarado J. 5. Borges C. 42. Cuello R. 33. Lucumi J. 1. Mora B. (G) 2. Paz D. 3. Quesada E. 43. Romulus G. 9. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Cardozo J.	Ramirez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Perez C. 🟨,
15', Francis W. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
24', Huertas J. 🟨,
38', Pinar F. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Hudson A. ⚽,
45+6', Torres E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Perez C. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Cisneros R. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
62', Hernandez A. ↓, Cuello R. ↑,
67', Torres E. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
75', Matarrita R. ↓, Paz D. ↑,
77', Lucumi J. 🟨,
81', Cisneros R. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
81', Vargas K. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
82', Padilla S. ↓, Pena R. ↑,
82', Huertas J. ↓, Sequeira D. ↑,
82', Hernandez A. ↓, Orellano L. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5)

Municipal Liberia is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2.

Municipal Liberia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alajuelense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Municipal Liberia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alajuelense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Municipal Liberia won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:31. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Liberia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Alajuelense	9	4	2	3	15:10	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Municipal Liberia - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
21.04.26	Sporting San José - Municipal Liberia	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Municipal Liberia - San Carlos	5:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
25.03.26	Municipal Liberia - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWWWT
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
23.04.26	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	5:2 ✺
19.04.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sporting San José - Alajuelense	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Alajuelense - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Herediano - Alajuelense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Copa
10.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	3:1
03.02.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	0:1
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.01.26	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:2
13.12.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	3:0
10.12.25	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	1:1
02.11.25	Municipal Liberia - Alajuelense	1:4
13.09.25	Alajuelense - Municipal Liberia	2:0

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