Match Info

Date: 23 February 2022, Wednesday


	Municipal Limeño		Atlético Marte

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.9
	2.48	3.15	2.48
	2.28	3.05	2.9
	2.39	2.98	3.22
	2.46	2.95	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.7)	3.01 ↓ (3.3)	2.88 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Limeño
38.1%

Draw
30.3%

Atlético Marte
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

20%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Atlético Marte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Marte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Municipal Limeño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Marte than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Marte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs)).

Municipal Limeño is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Atlético Marte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Marte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Municipal Limeño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal Limeño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
20.02.22	Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
12.02.22	Santa Tecla - Municipal Limeño	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Municipal Limeño - CD FAS	1:1 ✺
04.02.22	Jocoro - Municipal Limeño	3:0 ✺
30.01.22	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTLL
- Atlético Marte
El Salvador Primera Division
19.02.22	Atlético Marte - Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	CD FAS - Atlético Marte	3:0 ✺
09.02.22	Atlético Marte - Jocoro	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Águila - Atlético Marte	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Atlético Marte - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
02.11.21	Atlético Marte - Municipal Limeño	2:0
25.08.21	Municipal Limeño - Atlético Marte	1:2

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