Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Municipal Limeño		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.92	2.52
	2.74	3.06	2.65
	2.74	3.06	2.65	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.63
	2.46	3.4	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	2.63 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Limeño
34.8%

Draw
30.2%

Alianza San Miguel
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+2%)

Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ))

Municipal Limeño is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 0.

Municipal Limeño is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alianza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Municipal Limeño has had a series of away games.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 8:41. (average 0.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Limeño won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Alianza FC	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18
7	Municipal Limeno	14	5	2	7	19:19	0	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
15.04.26	Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño	3:4 ✺
12.04.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
09.04.26	El Roble - Municipal Limeño	0:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
04.04.26	Municipal Limeño - Águila	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	CD FAS - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
15.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - Águila	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
07.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - Isidro Metapán	3:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
04.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - Hércules	3:2 ✺
01.04.26	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
21.02.26	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	1:0
29.11.25	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	3:0
23.11.25	Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel	0:0
05.11.25	Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel	0:1
03.09.25	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	3:1
24.05.25	Municipal Limeño - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 penalties
16.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	0:0

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