Match Info

EL SALVADOR: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Santa Tecla		Municipal Limeño

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.4	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.46	3.36	2.78
	2.46	3.36	2.78
	2.38	3.3	2.62
	2.39	3.24	2.63
	2.41	3.35	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.47)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.67 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Tecla
38.1%

Draw
27.7%

Municipal Limeño
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

26.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.1%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Tecla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Tecla's performance.

Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Municipal Limeño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Tecla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal Limeño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
12', 0 - 1, Delgadillo D. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Delgadillo D. ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, Delgadillo D. ⚽,
36', 0 - 4, Alvarado E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', Tarifa G. 🟥,
72', 1 - 4, Martinez M. ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, Rivas Linares E. A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Municipal Limeño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santa Tecla won 2 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Tecla won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Tecla FC
El Salvador Primera Division
20.03.24	Santa Tecla - Águila	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Santa Tecla - Luis Ángel Firpo	3:3 ✺
05.03.24	Isidro Metapán - Santa Tecla	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Santa Tecla	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Santa Tecla - Alianza San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LTWLT
- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
20.03.24	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	Municipal Limeño - Jocoro	1:0 ✺
06.03.24	Municipal Limeño - Fuerte San Francisco	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Luis Ángel Firpo - Municipal Limeño	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	CD FAS - Municipal Limeño	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
13.01.24	Municipal Limeño - Santa Tecla	1:0
26.11.23	Santa Tecla - Municipal Limeño	1:3
30.09.23	Municipal Limeño - Santa Tecla	1:1
17.04.22	Municipal Limeño - Santa Tecla	2:0
12.02.22	Santa Tecla - Municipal Limeño	1:1
07.11.21	Municipal Limeño - Santa Tecla	1:1
28.08.21	Santa Tecla - Municipal Limeño	1:1

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