Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Municipal Limeño		Once Deportivo Ahuachapan

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.3	1.73
				Watch
	4.42	3.4	1.72	Watch
	1.95	2.85	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (1.75)	3.18 ↓ (3.55)	2.58 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Limeño
28.2%

Draw
32.1%

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.5%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal Limeño's form might have worsened.

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Deportivo Ahuachapan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Municipal Limeño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Municipal Limeño - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Julio S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Martinez Granados J. ⚽,
87', 3 - 0, Gonzalez N. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal Limeño won 2.

Recent matches Municipal Limeño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Once Deportivo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Municipal Limeño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Municipal Limeño is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Municipal Limeño won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Municipal Limeño won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
26.03.25	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Municipal Limeño - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Águila - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Municipal Limeño - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 TLTWL
- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
23.03.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Águila	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
02.02.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Municipal Limeño	0:0
05.10.24	Municipal Limeño - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:2
04.08.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Municipal Limeño	1:2
30.03.24	Municipal Limeño - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:2
21.01.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Municipal Limeño	0:1
19.10.23	Municipal Limeño - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:1
23.08.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Municipal Limeño	2:1

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