Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza San Miguel		Once Deportivo Ahuachapan

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	7.25
	1.38	4.1	7.6
	1.39	4.22	8.76
	1.41	4.1	8.75	Watch
	1.46	4.06	7.1
	1.38	4.1	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.11 ↓ (4.15)	7.84 ↓ (8.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza San Miguel
65.9%

Draw
22.4%

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21.9%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

20.5%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Portillo J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Mauricio E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 3 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza won 2.

Alianza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Once Deportivo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alianza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alianza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Alianza won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:15 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:3 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
01.03.25	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
12.02.25	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWT
- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
02.03.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Águila	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	CD Dragón - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:0 ✺
12.02.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
20.10.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0
18.08.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	1:1
11.05.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0
24.03.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	3:1
14.01.24	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:1
04.11.23	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	0:0
10.09.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Alianza San Miguel	1:1

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