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Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel 41.3%
Draw 29.5%
Municipal Limeño 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
29.4%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
29.6%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza San Miguel's performance.
Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Municipal Limeño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza San Miguel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal Limeño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Arias N. A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Wilma Torres ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Rodriguez Arias N. A. 🟥,
56', (Penalty Awarded),
58', 1 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Moura G. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 2, Parra W. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 10th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 3.
In recent outings, Alianza has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Municipal Limeño is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alianza has recorded 13 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 39:6 (averaging 2:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alianza against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 25:3 goals (averaging 2.5:0.3 per game).
El-salvador
Mexico
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