Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Fuerte San Francisco		Once Deportivo Ahuachapan

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	4.75
	2.09	3	3.45
	1.75	3.22	4.91
	2.12	3.02	3.81	Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.06	2.89	3.73
	2.09	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	3.96 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerte San Francisco
46.6%

Draw
30.2%

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

28.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

23.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuerte San Francisco's form might have worsened.

Once Deportivo Ahuachapan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Deportivo Ahuachapan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Fuerte San Francisco - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Murillo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 2, Anzora C. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuerte won 3.

Fuerte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Once Deportivo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Once Deportivo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Once Deportivo have a series of guest games.

In this match Fuerte is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fuerte won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Fuerte won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
09.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTLT
- Once Deportivo Ahuachapan
El Salvador Primera Division
08.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Águila	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Luis Ángel Firpo - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	CD FAS - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	CD Dragón - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
19.01.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2
10.11.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	2:0
08.09.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:0
04.05.24	Fuerte San Francisco - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:0
17.03.24	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1
22.11.23	Fuerte San Francisco - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	1:0
20.08.23	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0

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