Match Info

Prva liga - Round 5

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Mestni stadion Fazanerija (Murska Sobota)

Referee: Antic M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Poland	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2


	Mura		Domžale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.95
	2.15	3.5	2.98
	2.25	3.64	3
	1.12	8.26	18.89	Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.9
	2.18	3.44	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.19)	4.27 ↑ (3.41)	5.62 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mura
54.8%

Draw
25.7%

Domžale
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

25.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mura's performance.

Domžale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Domžale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domžale than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Domžale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Mura - Domžale Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mura will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Domžale will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Domžale (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Strajnar A. (G) 22. Ajhmajer N. 27. Bobicanec L. 23. Flis Z. 10. Kouter N. 9. Muric R. 21. Petrovic Z. 26. Proleta B. 2. Sana F. 16. Turudija L. 29. Vizinger D.	22. Maticic B. (G) 15. Dovzan Karahodzic L. 32. Faye F. 66. Kambic L. 85. Klancir P. 5. Lampreht R. 55. Lorber M. 19. Milic N. 11. Mlakar L. 27. Omoregie D. 10. Vuckic H. (C)
Substitutes
6. Antolin A. 1. Dermastija N. (G) 25. Domjan J. 44. Glavan T. 19. Hofer R. 7. Kasalo N. . Kolbl M. 5. Kovac B. 98. Kovacic J. . Krupic E. 97. Pasevich R. 13. Raduha F. (G)	39. Bohinc L. 2. Hrvatin R. 36. Kranjcic G. 7. Lazarevic D. 38. Malov D. 28. Perc N. 35. Serbec M. 33. Strajnar M. 25. Vodisek R. (G) 4. Vujcic N. 34. Zabukovnik A.
Coaches
Kurtusic I.	Millan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bobicanec L. ⚽, Vizinger D. (A),
41', Omoregie D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Vizinger D. ⚽,
49', Dovzan Karahodzic L. ↓, Kranjcic G. ↑,
49', Mlakar L. ↓, Perc N. ↑,
53', Kouter N. ↓, Antolin A. ↑,
61', Ajhmajer N. ↓, Pasevich R. ↑,
68', Milic N. 🟨,
77', Bobicanec L. ↓, Glavan T. ↑,
77', Muric R. ↓, Krupic E. ↑,
80', Omoregie D. ↓, Lazarevic D. ↑,
88', Faye F. ↓, Zabukovnik A. ↑,
88', Klancir P. 🟨,
89', Zabukovnik A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Pasevich R. ⚽,
90+3', Pasevich R. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mura won 3.

Mura is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Domžale has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Domžale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mura has had a series of away games.

Mura will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mura won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mura won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.08.25	Celje - Mura	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	NK Bravo - Mura	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Sturm Graz - Mura	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLLT
- NK Domžale
Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.08.25	Domžale - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:3 ✺
01.08.25	Radomlje - Domžale	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Domžale - Maribor	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Primorje - Domžale	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Domžale - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian PrvaLiga
10.04.25	Mura - Domžale	0:2
08.02.25	Domžale - Mura	0:1
05.10.24	Mura - Domžale	0:1
27.07.24	Domžale - Mura	1:2
29.03.24	Domžale - Mura	3:5
10.12.23	Mura - Domžale	1:0
27.09.23	Domžale - Mura	0:2

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