Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		Shabana

	1	X	2
	4.15	2.72	1.98
	2.53	2.97	2.77	Watch
	3.98	2.78	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.5)	2.82 ↑ (2.8)	2.26 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
26.1%

Draw
32.9%

Shabana
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muranga Seal's form might have worsened.

Shabana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muranga Seal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabana than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Muranga Seal - Shabana Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shabana (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shabana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Shabana (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Nthata W. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Kiplagat J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Muranga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shabana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shabana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Muranga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
16.11.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Muranga Seal - Tusker	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TTWTL
- Shabana FC
Kenyan Premier League
09.11.25	Ulinzi Stars - Shabana	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Shabana	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Shabana - AFC Leopards	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Shabana - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Shabana - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
30.03.25	Shabana - Muranga Seal	3:0
23.11.24	Muranga Seal - Shabana	0:1
27.08.23	Shabana - Muranga Seal	0:1
Kenyan Super League
19.03.23	Shabana - Muranga Seal	2:0

Upcoming Matches