Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Muranga Seal		Tusker

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.68	2.28
	2.29	2.86	3.27	Watch
	3.41	2.89	2.27
	2.3	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.28)	2.86 ↑ (2.84)	2.76 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muranga Seal
33.1%

Draw
32.8%

Tusker
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muranga Seal's form might have worsened.

Tusker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tusker's recent form is better than expected.

Muranga Seal - Tusker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, Kapaito E. ⚽,

Preview

Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Muranga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muranga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Muranga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Muranga Seal - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
15.10.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Bandari - Muranga Seal	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	APS Bomet - Muranga Seal	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Muranga Seal - Ulinzi Stars	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
05.10.25	Tusker - Shabana	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Posta Rangers - Tusker	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
10.05.25	Tusker - Muranga Seal	2:0
01.12.24	Muranga Seal - Tusker	1:3
05.11.23	Muranga Seal - Tusker	2:1

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