Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Muranga Seal

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.37	5.61
	1.55	3.46	6.24	Watch
	1.6	3.32	5.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)	5.85 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
57.6%

Draw
26.9%

Muranga Seal
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

26.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

25.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Muranga Seal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Homeboyz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Odhiambo P. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 12).

Homeboyz is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Muranga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Muranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Homeboyz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Homeboyz is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Homeboyz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:1 ✺
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	3:1 ✺
15.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bidco United	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWL
- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Muranga Seal - Tusker	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Bandari - Muranga Seal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.02.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	3:1
10.11.24	Muranga Seal - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2

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