Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	AFC Leopards		Muranga Seal

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.2	5.7
	1.56	3.3	5.83
	1.77	3.21	4.59	Watch
	1.63	3.08	6.13
	1.73	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	5.35 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Leopards
54.7%

Draw
28.4%

Muranga Seal
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Muranga Seal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muranga Seal than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 15).

Leopards is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Muranga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leopards may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leopards is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
08.11.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	AFC Leopards - Mathare United	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Shabana - AFC Leopards	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	AFC Leopards - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
15.10.25	AFC Leopards - Bandari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWT
- Muranga Seal
Kenyan Premier League
09.11.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Muranga Seal	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Muranga Seal - Tusker	0:1 ✺
15.10.25	Muranga Seal - Sofapaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
25.01.25	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	1:1
23.10.24	Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards	1:0
11.02.24	AFC Leopards - Muranga Seal	1:0
20.12.23	Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards	1:1

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