Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 10

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	San Giovanni		Folgore

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.05	1.4
	4.92	3.92	1.59	Watch
	6.47	4.53	1.44
	4.4	3.85	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (4.4)	4.09 ↑ (3.85)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Giovanni
16.6%

Draw
22.6%

Folgore
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23.6%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

San Giovanni - Folgore Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Folgore (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Zanni M. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Aversario F. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 2.

Recent form of San Giovanni has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Folgore has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of away games.

In this match, Folgore is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
09.11.25	Murata - San Giovanni	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus - San Giovanni	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Cailungo - San Giovanni	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Pennarossa - San Giovanni	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	San Giovanni - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
09.11.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Folgore - AC Libertas	6:1 ✺
25.10.25	Folgore - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.25	La Fiorita - Folgore	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
17.10.25	Tre Fiori - Folgore	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.05.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1
03.05.25	Folgore - San Giovanni	0:1
17.02.24	San Giovanni - Folgore	2:1
20.10.23	Folgore - San Giovanni	2:1
18.02.23	San Giovanni - Folgore	2:3
San Marino Coppa Titano
18.10.22	Folgore - San Giovanni	3:2 ET
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
08.10.22	Folgore - San Giovanni	1:2

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