Match Info

BRAZIL: ALAGOANO - ROUND 7

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Murici		Penedense

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.1
	1.83	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.36
	1.8	3.2	4.38
	1.83	3.15	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.62)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	4.25 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murici
49.7%

Draw
28.9%

Penedense
21.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.2%

26.8%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

26.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murici's form might have worsened.

Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murici than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murici, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

Murici is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Penedense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Murici could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murici is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murici FC
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Murici - Confiança	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
24.02.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
21.02.24	Murici - Coruripe	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
17.02.24	Murici - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
14.02.24	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Murici	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTTW
- SC Penedense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
24.02.24	CS Alagoano - Penedense	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Penedense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
04.02.24	Zumbi - Penedense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
28.01.24	Penedense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TLWWT

Murici - Penedense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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